Piraeus Bank Group participated successfully in the pan-European stress test for hypothetical extreme situations for the banking industry, the results of which were announced on Friday, said the bank in a press release.rnrnThe stress test includes one base (likely, expected), one adverse (especially unfavourable) and one extremely adverse scenario (extremely unfavourable). rnrnThe objective of the exercise was to investigate the resilience of capital adequacy in the banking industry in Europe, in case of further worsening of the economic crisis, and to define the amount of necessary capital for the restoration of the Tier I capital to 6%, when taking into consideration the adverse scenario and the extremely adverse scenario at the end of 2011.rnrnThe criteria that were applied in the case of Greece compared to the rest of European countries were by far the strictest, and they do not reflect the current situation of gradual fiscal adjustment and the smoothing of economic conditions in the country. rnrnIndicative of the strict conditions that applied in Greece is that the assessment of the losses in the mortgage portfolio in the extreme adverse scenario for Greece was 37%,when the respective ratio for the immediately next country was at 24%.rnrnThe results of the stress tests for the Tier I capital ratio of Piraeus Bank Group for 2011 were the following:rnrn• at the Base scenario 10.9%,rnrn• at the Adverse scenario 8.3%,rnrn• at the Extremely Adverse scenario 6.0%rnrnIt is noted that even under the Extremely Adverse scenario the Tier I ratio of Piraeus Bank Group stands at 6.4%, taking into account the fact that the trading portfolio of Greek Government Bonds at 30.06.2010 was significantly decreased (to €0.1 bn against €1.1 bn).rnrn
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The neutral nominal rate in Romania has been falling since the start of inflation targeting in 2005. The Taylor Rule clearly shows that interest rates peaked in 2022 and have been on a clear downward path ever since.Furthermore, the model estimates a long-term neutral nominal rate of around 3.9%, which is the equivalent of approx. 1.4% real.Using a more sophisticated model (i.e. New York FED’S HLW model), the real neutral interest rate in Romania is estimated currently at around 1.5% (1.7% 2023 average) and the historical mean at 1.2%.This implies a neutral nominal rate between 4.00% and 4.50%. In the past decade, the NBR real effective rate was below the neutral rate and only over the past year climbed above the neutral mark.Source: Erste Bank
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