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Real convergence in the euro area: evidence, theory and policy implications (ECB Article):

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2015-08-02 22:16

Real convergence in the euro area: evidence, theory and policy implications (ECB Article):

An important lesson from the euro area sovereign debt crisis is that the need for sound economic policies does not end once a country has adopted the euro.

There are no automatic mechanisms to ensure that the process of nominal convergence which occurs before adoption of the euro produces sustainable real convergence thereafter.

The global financial crisis that started in 2008 has showed that some
countries participating in Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) had severe
weaknesses in their structural and institutional set-up.

This has resulted in a large and protracted fall in real per capita income levels in these countries since 2008.

While there has been real convergence in the European Union (EU) as a whole since 1999 owing to the catching up of central and eastern European (CEE) economies, there has been no process of real convergence among the 12 countries that adopted the euro in 1999 and 2001.

This lack of convergence is related to several factors, notably weak institutions, structural rigidities, weak productivity growth and insufficient policies to address asset price booms. Against this background, several
factors appear crucial for ensuring real convergence in EMU: macroeconomic stability, and sound fiscal policy in particular; a high degree of flexibility in product and labour markets; favourable conditions for an efficient use of capital and labour in the economy, supporting total factor productivity (TFP) growth; economic integration within the euro area; and a more active use of national policy tools to prevent asset
price and credit boom-bust cycles.

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True but also reasonable to assume that sound economic policies generate even better outcomes once euro adopted as thereafter VOLATILTY = ZERO

The Big Idea
HOW ... TO misUSE:) theory ... has to be true while it would not be wrong at all to assume ultimately is A POLITIC decision that still needs gov endorsment - missing consistently on that may cost US :(

I\'m going ... TOO :)))
... adoption can only strenghen our positions

Wellcome ...


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